SA REITs extend 2025 rally with solid August performance

Sector posts 2.4% monthly gain, year-to-date return climbs to 14.2% as investor confidence and capital flows return to listed property
 
South African Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) maintained their positive trajectory in August, gaining 2.4% and lifting the year-to-date return to 14.2%, according to the SA REIT Association’s August 2025 Chart Book. Although this lags the broader equity market’s 23.6% return so far this year, the performance remains impressive against a higher base created in 2024, when SA REITs delivered an exceptional 35.8% return compared with 13.4% from equities.
 
“The recovery in listed property has been broad-based and underpinned by a constructive global interest rate environment,” said Ian Anderson, Head of Listed Property and Portfolio Manager at Merchant West Investments and compiler of the Chart Book. “Lower bond yields are reducing the cost of debt, while strong share price gains are lowering the cost of equity capital. Together, these trends are giving the sector renewed financial flexibility.”
 
Capital raises signal renewed growth appetite
 
The improved backdrop has seen several REITs pursue both acquisitions and capital raising activity. Dipula announced the R478.1 million acquisition of Protea Gardens Mall and raised R559 million in early September through an accelerated bookbuild. Fairvest also secured investor support, raising R976 million to support acquisitions in the KwaZulu-Natal and Western Cape regions.
 
According to Anderson, these moves mark a turning point. “After several years in which raising equity was costly and limited, companies are once again able to raise sizeable amounts at attractive levels to fund acquisitions,” he said.
 
Trading updates show encouraging growth guidance
 
Dipula, Equites, Octodec, Redefine and Spear all provided trading updates to the market in August. While acknowledging muted domestic economic growth, management teams expressed optimism about their businesses’ prospects. Guidance included distributable income growth per share of 4% to 6% for Dipula (FY25), 5% to 7% for Equites (FY26), 3% to 6% for Octodec (FY25), 3% to 5% for Redefine (FY25) and 4% to 6% for Spear (FY26).
 
“These growth rates may appear modest by historical standards, but given how scarce earnings growth has been across the sector in recent years, they are very encouraging,” said Anderson. “Investors have taken note, which explains part of the strong price gains over the past 18 months.”
 
Portfolio reshaping and results highlights
 
Growthpoint announced significant leadership changes, with Estienne de Klerk succeeding Norbert Sasse as Group CEO from July 2026 and José Snyders joining as Group CFO in January 2026. The company also disposed of its Capital & Regional stake, realising £50.5 million to strengthen its balance sheet and pursue select opportunities.
 
Accelerate Property Fund advanced its balance sheet strategy with the sale of the Buzz Shopping Centre and Waterford Centre in Fourways for R215 million, aligning with its broader portfolio repositioning objectives.
 
Resilient delivered a strong set of interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2025, declaring an interim dividend of 245.72 cents per share, up 12.2% on the prior year. The group reported like-for-like net property income growth of 8.6% across its South African portfolio, as well as double-digit income growth from both Lighthouse Properties and its French shopping centres. Management had guided expectations well, with the 2.3% share price gain in August broadly in line with the sector.
 
Outlook: Sustained double-digit returns within reach
 
With valuations more conducive to raising capital and a pipeline of acquisition opportunities emerging, activity levels in the sector are expected to accelerate into late 2025 and 2026. External growth through acquisitions has historically been a strong driver of returns. This is once again on the horizon.
 
“The sector is now well positioned to deliver distributable income growth above inflation over the medium term,” said Anderson. “Combined with attractive income yields, this should enable listed property to provide investors with double-digit total returns, even after the strong gains of 2024 and early 2025.”