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Welcome news, rate cut brings festive cheer, spending boost for economy and property market

South Africa’s 25bps rate cut has been welcomed as early festive relief for consumers and the housing market, says Seeff chair Samuel Seeff. The repo rate drops to 6.75% and prime to 10.25%, supported by low inflation, a firmer rand, the Grey List exit and an S&P upgrade. Seeff says the cut improves affordability and demand, with homeowners now saving over R1,000 per month on a R1 million bond compared to mid-2024.

Samuel Seeff
Seeff Property Group
Chairman

Today’s 25-basis point rate cut announced by the Reserve Bank brings welcome news and early festive cheer for consumers, the economy and the property market, says Samuel Seeff, chairman of the Seeff Property Group. The cut brings the repo rate down to 6.75% (from 7.00%), and prime to 10.25% (from 10.50%).
 
The decision was anticipated, given the favourable economic indicators. This includes inflation at a historic low of just under 3.3% on average for the year, and despite the recent uptick, still comfortably within the Bank’s proposed new lower target range of 2-4%. The currency also remains stable below R18.00 to the USD, recently strengthening to around ZAR17.20.
 
Further good news for the economy includes the Grey List exit, an S&P credit rating upgrade to BB (the first in 20 years), positive job growth data for the last quarter, and a slightly better growth outlook. The cut provides further vital relief to the economy, lowering the cost of debt and freeing up more disposable income to spend, especially ahead of the busy annual retail season.
 
The rate cut is particularly good news for the property market, says Seeff. It will further boost affordability and demand, especially as the market continues to lag despite the four rate cuts since the third quarter of last year.
 
The cut will further lower home loan costs and improve property affordability, a strong incentive to attract more buyers to the market. This will stimulate more demand, which in turn is good news for sellers and overall sales volumes.
 
Seeff says further that the four rate cuts since last year have brought significant savings for homeowners and prospective buyers. The savings on the monthly repayment on a R1 million home loan (over 20 years) are now down by over R1,000 compared to mid-2024. This is a great incentive to buyers, especially for more first-time buyers to get into their own homes. 
 
While the cuts have been most welcome, Seeff says the interest rate is still slightly higher compared to the pre-pandemic level, and the property market has not yet fully recovered. “Given that inflation is at a historic low and expected to remain within the proposed new inflation target rate, we would urge the Bank to consider a further rate cut in January,” he concluded.
 
As a result of the 25bps rate cut, mortgage repayments will reduce by:
R750 000 bond – from R7,488 to R7,362 – thus saving R126
R900 000 bond – from R8,985 to R8,835 – thus saving R150
R1 000 000 bond – from R9,984 to R9,816 – thus saving R168
R1 500 000 bond – from R14,976 to R14,725 – thus saving R251
R2 000 000 bond – from R19,968 to R19,633 – thus saving R335
R2 500 000 bond – from R24,960 to R24,541 – thus saving R419
R3 000 000 bond – from R29,951 to R29,449 – thus saving R502
R5 000 000 bond – from R49,919 to R49,082 – thus saving R837
(Based on a 20-year repayment period at the prime rate)
 

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